ISLAMABAD: Pakistan moves closer to the sacred months ahead, a fresh astronomical forecast has sparked renewed attention across the country.
The Space and Upper Atmosphere Research Commission (SUPARCO) has released its preliminary prediction regarding the sighting of the moon for Shaban-ul-Muazzam 1447 Hijri, offering insights that may influence expectations nationwide.
As per the SPARCO, the new moon is expected to be born on January 19, 2026, at 12:52 a.m. Pakistan Standard Time. The timing itself appears technically important, experts say the conditions surrounding visibility are far more crucial and potentially decisive.
In this regard, the initial astronomical assessments suggest that by sunset on January 19, the moon’s age will be approximately 17 hours and 36 minutes.
The specialists generally consider this duration insufficient for clear naked-eye visibility, particularly under regional atmospheric conditions. This assessment has already prompted discussion among religious scholars and observers alike.
The SPARCO officials further noted that in Pakistan’s coastal regions, the time gap between sunset and moonset is expected to be around 33 minutes.
The window may seem reasonable to the untrained eye, astronomers caution that such a duration does not necessarily guarantee successful sighting, especially when other visibility factors are taken into account.
The experts believe that the probability of Shaban beginning on January 20, 2026, appears low.
The SUPARCO has reiterated that the ultimate decision rests solely with the Central Ruet-e-Hilal Committee of Pakistan, the constitutional body authorized to declare the start of Islamic months. The committee will base its announcement on verified testimonies received from across the country.
The sighting of the Shaban moon holds particular importance, as it marks the final phase of preparation before Ramadan.
